2008年亚洲电信市场分析预测研究报告

摘要 This market report provides a series of forecasts for subscriber growth in selected markets in Asia. It predominantly covers the fixed-line, Internet and mobile subscriber market segments in 15 countries across Asia. It is noted that our report has focused on developing economies in the region where the main segments of the markets are still very much in their basic subscriber growth phases. The forecasts cover a range of periods with some commencing in 2006 and most forecasting ending in 2017. The countries covered include: Afghanistan, Azerbaijan, Bangladesh, Cambodia, Georgia, Indonesia, India, Kazakhstan, Laos, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Thailand, Uzbekistan, Vietnam. The report includes what BuddeComm terms scenario forecasts. By describing long-range scenarios we identify a band within which we expect subscriber growth to occur. The associated text describes what we see as the most likely growth trend within the identified band. The actual forecasts are summarised in a series of tables. A set of sample tables are included below, these being the actual scenario forecasts for India to 2017. The projections shown in the tables in this report are based on our own historical information, as well as on telecommunication sector statistics from official and non-official, national and international sources. We assume a possible deviation of 15-20% around this data. All statistics for GDP, revenue, etc, are shown in US$, in order to maintain consistency within and between markets. At the same time we acknowledge that this can introduce some irregularities.
目录及图表 1. Afghanistan 1.1 Forecast overview 1.2 Forecasts – fixed-line market to 2016 1.3 Forecasts – Internet services to 2016 1.4 Forecasts – mobile market to 2016 2. Azerbaijan
2.1 Forecast overview 2.2 Forecasts – fixed-line market to 2017 2.3 Forecasts – Internet services to 2017 2.4 Forecasts – mobile market to 2017 3. Bangladesh 3.1 Forecasts – fixed-line market to 2016 3.2 Forecasts – Internet services to 2016 3.3 Forecasts – mobile market to 2016 4. Cambodia 4.1 Forecast overview 4.2 Forecasts – fixed-line market to 2016 4.3 Forecasts – Internet services to 2016 4.4 Forecasts – mobile market to 2016 5. Georgia 5.1 Forecast overview 5.2 Forecasts – fixed-line market to 2017 5.3 Forecasts – Internet services to 2017 5.4 Forecasts – mobile market to 2017 6. Indonesia 6.1 Forecast overview 6.2 Forecasts – fixed-line market to 2017 6.3 Forecasts – Internet services to 2017 6.4 Forecasts – mobile market to 2017 7. India 7.1 Forecast overview 7.2 Forecasts – fixed-line market to 2017 7.3 Forecasts – Internet services to 2017 7.4 Forecasts – mobile market to 2017 8. Kazakhstan 8.1 Forecast overview 8.2 Forecasts – fixed-line market to 2017 8.3 Forecasts – Internet services to 2017 8.4 Forecasts – mobile market to 2017 9. Laos 9.1 Forecast overview 9.2 Forecasts – fixed-line market to 2016 9.3 Forecasts – Internet services to 2016 9.4 Forecasts – mobile market to 2016 10. Nepal 10.1 Forecast overview 10.2 Forecasts – fixed-line market to 2017 10.3 Forecasts – Internet services to 2017 10.4 Forecasts – mobile market to 2017 11. Pakistan 11.1 Forecast overview 11.2 Forecasts – fixed-line market to 2017 11.3 Forecasts – Internet services to 2017 11.4 Forecasts – mobile market to 2017 12. Sri Lanka 12.1 Forecasts – fixed-line market to 2016 12.2 Forecasts – Internet services to 2016 12.3 Forecasts – mobile market to 2016 13. Thailand 13.1 Forecast overview 13.2 Forecasts – fixed-line services to 2017 13.3 Forecasts – Internet services to 2017 13.4 Forecasts – mobile market to 2017 14. Uzbekistan 14.1 Forecast overview 14.2 Forecasts – fixed-line market to 2017 14.3 Forecasts – Internet services to 2017 14.4 Forecasts – mobile market to 2017 15. Vietnam 15.1 Forecast overview 15.2 Forecasts – fixed-line market to 2017 15.3 Forecasts – Internet services to 2017 15.4 Forecasts – mobile market to 2017 16. Glossary of Abbreviations